Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.052077 0.060773 0.070325 0.081578 0.094449 0.108689 0.125617
2025-02-23 0.038117 0.049291 0.062719 0.079962 0.101425 0.127163 0.160260
2025-03-02 0.028935 0.041021 0.056749 0.078529 0.107684 0.145115 0.196512
2025-03-09 0.023359 0.035953 0.053541 0.079554 0.116632 0.167079 0.240285
2025-03-16 0.018358 0.030521 0.048662 0.077171 0.120188 0.181850 0.275839
2025-03-23 0.016047 0.028543 0.048274 0.080942 0.132679 0.210168 0.333231
2025-03-30 0.013592 0.025798 0.046151 0.081550 0.140217 0.231738 0.382687
2025-04-06 0.011218 0.022687 0.042851 0.079623 0.143257 0.246427 0.422737
2025-04-13 0.009403 0.020201 0.040157 0.078204 0.146742 0.261879 0.465142
2025-04-20 0.008612 0.019501 0.040512 0.082123 0.159688 0.293956 0.537553
2025-04-27 0.007815 0.018625 0.040375 0.085054 0.171097 0.324341 0.609623
2025-05-04 0.006606 0.016635 0.037736 0.082801 0.172624 0.337447 0.652647
2025-05-11 0.005700 0.015160 0.035963 0.082115 0.177233 0.356876 0.709415
2025-05-18 0.004808 0.013528 0.033590 0.079853 0.178475 0.370201 0.756289
2025-05-25 0.004095 0.012176 0.031602 0.078105 0.180499 0.385124 0.807402
2025-06-01 0.003652 0.011420 0.030854 0.078962 0.188001 0.411312 0.882247
2025-06-08 0.003089 0.010206 0.028796 0.076514 0.188075 0.422601 0.928695
2025-06-15 0.002909 0.010040 0.029314 0.080212 0.202119 0.463643 1.038114
2025-06-22 0.002605 0.009434 0.028597 0.080794 0.209137 0.490564 1.120704
2025-06-29 0.002241 0.008549 0.026977 0.078872 0.210086 0.504569 1.177406
2025-07-06 0.001946 0.007812 0.025635 0.077459 0.212057 0.520907 1.240268
2025-07-13 0.001858 0.007761 0.026248 0.081342 0.227391 0.568218 1.373717
2025-07-20 0.001745 0.007595 0.026493 0.084245 0.240572 0.611686 1.501802